Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Emelec v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals
Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Emelec
EKV1
2-3
HT 0-0
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
2-3
HT 1-1
Independiente Del Valle
EKV1
Emelec 0-1 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Emelec 1-0 away from home.
As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Emelec had 44% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 56%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.78 to 0.48.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Emelec and 1.83 for Independiente Del Valle.
What was the final score of Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?
Emelec 0-1 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Emelec vs Independiente Del Valle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Emelec 31%, draw 29%, Independiente Del Valle 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.