El Nacional vs LDU Quito Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
El Nacional v LDU Quito — Team-Based Signals
El Nacional vs LDU Quito Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
El Nacional
EKV1
El Nacional 1-0 LDU Quito — Actual Match Statistics
El Nacional nicked a narrow win over LDU Quito 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was LDU Quito at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, El Nacional had 36% of the ball to LDU Quito's 64%, shots finished 12-27, expected goals 0.73 to 1.53 — on chances, LDU Quito could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, LDU Quito led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for El Nacional and 0.83 for LDU Quito.
What was the final score of El Nacional vs LDU Quito?
El Nacional 1-0 LDU Quito in the Ecuador - Premier on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for El Nacional vs LDU Quito?
Before kick-off our model rated an LDU Quito win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split El Nacional 25%, draw 21%, LDU Quito 54%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.