Le Havre 1-2 Lens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.91
Over
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.34
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
20%
3.29
6+
10%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.34 — our 31% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
6.97
1/2
12%
22.8
1/X
6%
15.1
X/1
9%
8.9
X/2
12%
4.27
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.26
2/X
6%
13.7
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre The Market 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Lens The Market 57%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
1.16/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.94
-42% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +67%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 83%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
23.4 Crosses 23.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lens
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.49 xG 1.49
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
243 Passes 438
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
18 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Lens Lens 3-4 HT 2-2 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
12.01.2025 Le Havre Le Havre 1-2 HT 1-1 Lens Lens FR1
06.04.2024 Lens Lens 1-1 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR1
20.10.2023 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR1
31.01.2020 Le Havre Le Havre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lens Lens FR2
17.08.2019 Lens Lens 1-3 HT 0-0 Le Havre Le Havre FR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre
1-2
AWAY Lens
1.89 xG 1.07
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 0
438 Passes 348
83% Pass Accuracy 86%
35 Box Touches 11
31 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Le Havre vs Lens
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Lens nicked a narrow win over Le Havre 2-1 on their travels.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lens as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 47% and both teams to score at 48%. The market went further still — the BTTS-yes price closed at 1.76, about 57%.

Under the surface, Le Havre had 57% of the ball to Lens's 43%, shots finished 18-6, expected goals 1.89 to 1.07 — on chances, Le Havre could feel hard done by.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Le Havre had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Le Havre and 1.17 for Lens.

Le Havre vs Lens Result & Final Score

Le Havre 1-2 Lens in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Le Havre vs Lens Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Lens win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Le Havre 24%, draw 25%, Lens 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lens) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lens) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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