Lille vs Monaco Prediction — Model Probabilities
Lille v Monaco — Team-Based Signals
Lille vs Monaco Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Lille 1-0 Monaco — Actual Match Statistics
Lille edged past Monaco 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day Lille made the difference.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both. The market went further still — the over-2.5 price closed at 1.64, about 61%.
On the day, Lille had 50% of the ball to Monaco's 50%, shots finished 18-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lille had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lille and 0.83 for Monaco.
Lille vs Monaco Result & Final Score
Lille 1-0 Monaco in the France - Ligue 1 on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Lille vs Monaco Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Monaco win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lille 33%, draw 27%, Monaco 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Monaco), BTTS Yes went the other way.