NEC Nijmegen 3-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
20%
3.8
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.2pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC Nijmegen EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 24%
-6% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.75/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.61
+14% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
24.2 Crosses 17.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3W-1D-2L
AWAY NAC Breda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 1.36
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
312 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3-0 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
05.10.2024 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-0 HT 0-0 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL
23.05.2021 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
03.05.2021 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0-2 HT 0-2 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
30.10.2020 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-1 HT 0-1 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen HOL2
28.02.2020 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 1-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC Nijmegen
3-0
AWAY NAC Breda
4.19 xG 0.45
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 1
323 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC Nijmegen cruised past NAC Breda 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 51% of the ball to NAC Breda's 49%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 4.19 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.83 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda?

NEC Nijmegen 3-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 56%, draw 19%, NAC Breda 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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