Heerenveen 1-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.95
Over 2.5
56%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.68
No
38%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
12%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.09
1/2
8%
24.95
1/X
8%
13.85
X/1
12%
5.93
X/2
17%
5.09
X/X
11%
5.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
28.5
2/2
14%
3.25
2/X
8%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 28.5 — our 9% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
35%
-1.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS Yes
56%
+6.4pp
38%
BTTS No
44%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 45%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -24%
1.33/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.21
+5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
361 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.4 Crosses 20.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Twente
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.98 xG 2.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 385
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-3 HT 1-2 Twente Twente HOL
17.09.2024 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 2-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
03.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-3 HT 2-3 Twente Twente HOL
30.09.2023 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.06.2023 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 3-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
01.06.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
1-2
AWAY Twente
2.39 xG 2.01
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
388 Passes 305
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente edged past Heerenveen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Twente found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Heerenveen had 55% of the ball to Twente's 45%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 2.39 to 2.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heerenveen and 2.50 for Twente.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Twente?

Heerenveen 1-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 33%, draw 27%, Twente 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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