Aktobe 3-2 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
74%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.62
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
2%
1/X
8%
X/1
33%
X/2
3%
X/X
5%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
74%
Home Win
72%
+2.0pp
16%
Draw
18%
-2.3pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.8pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aktobe EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 12%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -11%
1.91/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/2.05
-14% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +0%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
441 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aktobe
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zhetysu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
25.05.2025 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-1 HT 0-1 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
15.09.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
28.04.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
14.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
29.10.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 1-2 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
POST-MATCH Aktobe vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe edged past Zhetysu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 74%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aktobe and 1.00 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Aktobe 3-2 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aktobe vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 74%, with the full match-result split Aktobe 74%, draw 16%, Zhetysu 10%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
24 Aug 2025
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