Zhetysu 2-1 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
39%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
21%
+13.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
53%
-13.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.8pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
0.59/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.15
-32% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -33%
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
138 · 57% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 557 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhetysu
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aktobe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
15.09.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
28.04.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 2-1 HT 1-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
14.04.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 1-0 HT 1-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
29.10.2023 Aktobe Aktobe 2-2 HT 1-2 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
04.03.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-1 HT 0-0 Aktobe Aktobe KAZP
26.09.2021 Aktobe Aktobe 2-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhetysu vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zhetysu squeezed past Aktobe 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Zhetysu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aktobe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zhetysu and 1.67 for Aktobe.

What was the final score of Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

Zhetysu 2-1 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhetysu vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zhetysu 34%, draw 27%, Aktobe 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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