FK Turan 1-2 Tobol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.1pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Turan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Tobol EU Bookmakers 51%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.01/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.06
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -36%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Turan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Tobol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
30% Ball Possession 70%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.05.2025 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZKK
23.10.2024 FK Turan FK Turan 0-2 HT 0-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
02.03.2024 Tobol Tobol 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
01.07.2022 FK Turan FK Turan 2-2 HT 0-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
04.04.2022 Tobol Tobol 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Turan FK Turan KAZP
03.07.2021 FK Turan FK Turan 2-4 HT 1-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
POST-MATCH FK Turan vs Tobol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tobol squeezed past FK Turan 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tobol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tobol led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Turan and 2.50 for Tobol.

What was the final score of FK Turan vs Tobol?

FK Turan 1-2 Tobol in the Kazakistan - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Turan vs Tobol?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tobol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Turan 30%, draw 28%, Tobol 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tobol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tobol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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