Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Yelimay Semey — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 25 May 2025

📅25/05/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.34
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.59
Over 2.5
36%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
28%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
16%
+8.2pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
53%
Away Win
59%
-5.8pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Yelimay Semey EU Bookmakers 62%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.21/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.50
-74% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -50%
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
236 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Yelimay Semey
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.05.2025 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 0-0 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZKK
24.08.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 2-1 HT 0-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
02.06.2024 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 HT 0-0 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey KAZP
08.05.2024 Yelimay Semey Yelimay Semey 1-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar and Yelimay Semey couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Yelimay Semey at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Yelimay Semey led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Yelimay Semey.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Yelimay Semey in the Kazakistan - Super League on 25/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Yelimay Semey?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yelimay Semey win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 24%, draw 23%, Yelimay Semey 53%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yelimay Semey), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yelimay Semey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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