MTK Budapest 2-3 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 24 Aug 2025

📅24/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.39
Draw
23%
3.74
Away
40%
2.36
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.53
Over Pick
70%
1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.4
No
34%
2.74
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
42%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME MTK Budapest The Market 42%
Signal
AWAY Paksi SE The Market 42%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.76 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.04
1.36 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Strong Attack Strength Great
Strong Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MTK Budapest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paksi SE
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.74 xG 1.64
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
395 Passes 286
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-2 HT 0-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
07.12.2024 Paksi SE Paksi SE 4-2 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
03.12.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 3-1 HT 1-1 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
03.03.2024 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
05.11.2023 Paksi SE Paksi SE 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
28.07.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 1-1 HT 0-0 Paksi SE Paksi SE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MTK Budapest
2 - 3
AWAY Paksi SE
3.48 xG 2.68
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 16
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
363 Passes 273
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 0
REVIEW MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Paksi SE squeezed past MTK Budapest 3-2 on the road. Half-time: 0-2. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Paksi SE made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (66%) landed.

On the day, MTK Budapest had 57% of the ball to Paksi SE's 43%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 3.48 to 2.68 — on chances, MTK Budapest could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paksi SE led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for MTK Budapest and 1.67 for Paksi SE.

MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE Result & Final Score

MTK Budapest 2 - 3 Paksi SE in the Hungary - NB I on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

MTK Budapest vs Paksi SE Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split MTK Budapest 37%, draw 23%, Paksi SE 40%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paksi SE), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →