Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cerro v Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Team-Based Signals
Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
URU
Cerro 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Actual Match Statistics
Cerro squeezed past Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
This one beat our numbers. Liverpool FC (Montevideo) carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Cerro had 46% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 54%, shots finished 10-15.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cerro and 1.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).
What was the final score of Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Cerro 2-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cerro vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cerro 20%, draw 25%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 55%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)), Under 2.5 went the other way.