Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Italy - Serie A, 24 Aug 2026

Roma
vs
Fiorentina
📅24/08/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
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Italy - Serie A – None

Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.57
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Roma v Fiorentina — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Roma vs Fiorentina Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fiorentina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.06 xG 1.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
424 Passes 367
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 21
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.05.2026 Roma Roma 4-0 HT 3-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
05.10.2025 Fiorentina Fiorentina 1-2 HT 1-2 Roma Roma İTA
04.05.2025 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
27.10.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 5-1 HT 3-1 Roma Roma İTA
10.03.2024 Fiorentina Fiorentina 2-2 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
10.12.2023 Roma Roma 1-1 HT 1-0 Fiorentina Fiorentina İTA
PREVIEW Roma vs Fiorentina
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Roma start as strong favourites on our numbers; Fiorentina's job is to make the game ugly early.

Goals against Roma have dried up: 4 clean sheets in their last 5 home league outings.

The rivalry ledger says that across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roma and 1.50 for Fiorentina.

Roma vs Fiorentina Kick-off Time

Roma play Fiorentina in the Italy - Serie A on 24/08/2026, kick-off 21:45 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Roma vs Fiorentina Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Roma vs Fiorentina is a Roma win at about 61% probability, priced 1.57 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Roma 61%, draw 20%, Fiorentina 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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