Aldershot Town 0-1 Barnet — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
2.43
Over
55%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.15
2-3
39%
1.96
4-5
25%
2.73
6+
14%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.03
1/2
5%
20.1
1/X
5%
14.35
X/1
7%
9.09
X/2
10%
4.33
X/X
12%
6.22
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
31%
2.2
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.3pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Barnet EU Bookmakers 57%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.19/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.70/1.49
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -27%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
269 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Barnet
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
20.02.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet İBSL
19.09.2023 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
25.02.2023 Barnet Barnet 4-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
03.09.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 3-1 HT 1-1 Barnet Barnet İBSL
05.02.2022 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-3 HT 0-2 Barnet Barnet İBSL
30.10.2021 Barnet Barnet 2-1 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
0-1
AWAY Barnet
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
0 Passes 1
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Barnet
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet nicked a narrow win over Aldershot Town 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 40% of the ball to Barnet's 60%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barnet led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Aldershot Town and 2.00 for Barnet.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Barnet?

Aldershot Town 0-1 Barnet in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Barnet?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 29%, draw 24%, Barnet 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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