Altrincham 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.07
Over 2.5
43%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.94
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
19%
3.14
6+ Goals
8%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 31% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.63
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
16%
5.74
X/2
12%
5.69
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
13%
3.58
2/X
10%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
44%
+12.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
56%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.5pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +17%
1.86/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.25
+37% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.03.2024 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 3-1 HT 1-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
05.08.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 1-1 HT 0-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
18.04.2023 Altrincham Altrincham 2-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
17.09.2022 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 4-1 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
26.02.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 3-0 HT 2-0 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İBSL
02.10.2021 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-3 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
2-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
1 Passes 0
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham squeezed past Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Altrincham had 44% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Altrincham and 2.00 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Altrincham 2-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 42%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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