Eastleigh 2-2 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.64
6+ Goals
8%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.07
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.78
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.62
2/X
9%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.3pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.85/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.41
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Woking
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Woking Woking 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
24.10.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-1 Woking Woking İBSL
04.02.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 Woking Woking İBSL
20.12.2022 Woking Woking 0-2 HT 0-2 Eastleigh Eastleigh FAK
29.10.2022 Woking Woking 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
07.05.2022 Woking Woking 1-2 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-2
AWAY Woking
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
2 Passes 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh and Woking couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Eastleigh at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastleigh had 54% of the ball to Woking's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastleigh and 0.50 for Woking.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Woking?

Eastleigh 2-2 Woking in the England - National League on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 41%, draw 28%, Woking 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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