Basingstoke Town 1-0 Walton & Hersham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.0pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.2pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.9pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Walton & Hersham EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.82/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.11
+16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +35%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
354 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Walton & Hersham
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
03.02.2024 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham 1-2 HT 1-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
23.09.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 3-3 HT 1-2 Walton & Hersham Walton & Hersham İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Walton & Hersham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basingstoke Town squeezed past Walton & Hersham 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Basingstoke Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Basingstoke Town and 2.00 for Walton & Hersham.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Walton & Hersham?

Basingstoke Town 1-0 Walton & Hersham in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Walton & Hersham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 37%, draw 31%, Walton & Hersham 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basingstoke Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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