Bracknell Town 1-1 Chertsey Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.6pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.30/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/2.75
+23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -41%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
POST-MATCH Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bracknell Town and Chertsey Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bracknell Town at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town?

Bracknell Town 1-1 Chertsey Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bracknell Town vs Chertsey Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bracknell Town win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bracknell Town 46%, draw 23%, Chertsey Town 30%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bracknell Town) ✗ Over 2.5
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