Spalding United 3-2 Lowestoft Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Sep 2024

📅24/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.33
Over 2.5
48%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
52%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Lowestoft Town EU Bookmakers 39%
-49% / -49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.51
-100% / -55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -57%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
267 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Lowestoft Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spalding United nicked a narrow win over Lowestoft Town 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Spalding United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Lowestoft Town?

Spalding United 3-2 Lowestoft Town in the England - Non League Premier on 24/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Lowestoft Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 39%, draw 25%, Lowestoft Town 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spalding United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Spalding United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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