Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Getafe v Deportivo Alaves — Team-Based Signals
Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
2-2
HT 0-1
Deportivo Alaves
İS1
1-1
HT 0-1
Getafe
İS1
Getafe 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Actual Match Statistics
Getafe and Deportivo Alaves shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Getafe at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.
On the day, Getafe had 46% of the ball to Deportivo Alaves's 54%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 0.26 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Getafe had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Getafe and 0.67 for Deportivo Alaves.
What was the final score of Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves?
Getafe 1-1 Deportivo Alaves in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Getafe vs Deportivo Alaves?
Before kick-off our model rated a Getafe win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Getafe 50%, draw 31%, Deportivo Alaves 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Getafe), BTTS No went the other way.