Real Sociedad vs Mallorca Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Sociedad v Mallorca — Team-Based Signals
Real Sociedad vs Mallorca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mallorca
İS1
Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca — Actual Match Statistics
Real Sociedad nicked a narrow win over Mallorca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Sociedad had 64% of the ball to Mallorca's 36%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.76 to 0.70 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Sociedad's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.83 for Mallorca.
What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?
Real Sociedad 1-0 Mallorca in the Spain - Primera Liga on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Mallorca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 54%, draw 23%, Mallorca 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.