Novi Pazar 1-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novi Pazar EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 45%
+25% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.40/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.30
+34% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
15.5 Crosses 22.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novi Pazar
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
218 Passes 312
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 30
8 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-3 HT 1-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
27.02.2025 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 2-0 HT 0-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
04.12.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRBK
28.09.2024 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar 2-0 HT 1-0 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac SIRP
11.04.2024 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 3-1 HT 2-0 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRBK
26.11.2023 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 0-4 HT 0-2 Novi Pazar Novi Pazar SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novi Pazar
1-1
AWAY Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
0.81 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
287 Passes 284
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 5
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novi Pazar and Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Novi Pazar had 51% of the ball to Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac's 49%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.81 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novi Pazar had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Novi Pazar and 1.17 for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac.

What was the final score of Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Novi Pazar 1-1 Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac in the Serbia - Super League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novi Pazar vs Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac?

Before kick-off our model rated an Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novi Pazar 34%, draw 22%, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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