Galway United 1-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.67
6+ Goals
11%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.43
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.28
X/2
8%
8.44
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
13%
6.88
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
+0.1pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.34
-30% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
267 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 65%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
25.7 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Drogheda United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
192 Passes 179
61% Pass Accuracy 56%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
25.04.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
28.02.2025 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
23.09.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
13.06.2024 Galway United Galway United 3-0 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
17.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-3 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-1
AWAY Drogheda United
1.41 xG 0.51
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
163 Passes 195
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and Drogheda United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Galway United had 49% of the ball to Drogheda United's 51%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.41 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galway United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Galway United and 0.83 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Drogheda United?

Galway United 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Galway United 52%, draw 21%, Drogheda United 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Galway United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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