St Patricks 1-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.45
Draw
15%
4.19
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.78
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
17.05
X/1
23%
3.9
X/2
6%
13.0
X/X
6%
6.25
2/1
7%
21.8
2/2
7%
10.85
2/X
5%
19.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
65%
+2.5pp
15%
Draw
21%
-5.6pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.5pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.75/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.74
+8% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.4 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.28 xG 0.79
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 247
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
23.05.2025 St Patricks St Patricks 2-2 HT 2-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
28.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
20.09.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
04.07.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
19.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
1-1
AWAY Waterford FC
2.53 xG 1.53
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
483 Passes 196
87% Pass Accuracy 70%
38 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks and Waterford FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. St Patricks carried 67% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 66% of the ball to Waterford FC's 34%, shots finished 25-14, expected goals 2.53 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

St Patricks 1-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 67%, draw 15%, Waterford FC 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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