Lleida Esportiu 1-1 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 24 Nov 2024

📅24/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.44
No
54%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-12.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
15%
+8.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
37%
+9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
63%
-9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.93/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.81
+16% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Badalona
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 0-1 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
15.10.2023 Badalona Badalona 0-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
30.04.2023 Badalona Badalona 0-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
18.12.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-2 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
30.01.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-2 HT 2-1 Badalona Badalona İS4
12.09.2021 Badalona Badalona 2-2 HT 2-2 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
1-1
AWAY Badalona
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lleida Esportiu and Badalona couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lleida Esportiu at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 66% of the ball to Badalona's 34%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Badalona led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.17 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona?

Lleida Esportiu 1-1 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 24/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 48%, draw 28%, Badalona 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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