Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Badalona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lleida Esportiu EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Badalona EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.24/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.35
-1% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lleida Esportiu
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Badalona
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2023 Badalona Badalona 0-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
30.04.2023 Badalona Badalona 0-0 HT 0-0 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
18.12.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-2 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS4
30.01.2022 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 2-2 HT 2-1 Badalona Badalona İS4
12.09.2021 Badalona Badalona 2-2 HT 2-2 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu İS4
31.01.2021 Lleida Esportiu Lleida Esportiu 1-0 HT 0-0 Badalona Badalona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lleida Esportiu
0-1
AWAY Badalona
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Badalona squeezed past Lleida Esportiu 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lleida Esportiu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Lleida Esportiu had 65% of the ball to Badalona's 35%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lleida Esportiu and 1.00 for Badalona.

What was the final score of Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona?

Lleida Esportiu 0-1 Badalona in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lleida Esportiu vs Badalona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lleida Esportiu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lleida Esportiu 42%, draw 28%, Badalona 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lleida Esportiu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
25 Feb 2024
13:00 Getafe II vs Atlético Paso Analysis →
13:30 Zaragoza II vs Athletic Bilbao II Analysis →
13:30 Mar Menor CF vs Estepona Analysis →
14:00 UCAM Murcia vs Real Betis II Analysis →
14:00 Espanyol II vs Pena Deportiva Analysis →
14:00 Union Adarve vs Gimnastica Segoviana Analysis →