Guastatoya 5-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
32%
3.54
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.64
Over 2.5
35%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
32%
Draw
25%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
57%
+7.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
43%
-7.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.44/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.29/1.27
-14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -68% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
414 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Marquense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
18.09.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-2 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
30.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
26.01.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.10.2024 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya cruised past Marquense 5-0. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Guastatoya had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Guastatoya and 0.75 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Guastatoya 5-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 48%, draw 32%, Marquense 20%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
24 Nov 2025
00:00 Malacateco vs CSD Comunicaciones Analysis →