Pogon Szczecin 5-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
40%
2.21
Over Pick
60%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.24
Total Goals
0-1
19%
4.35
2-3
45%
1.87
4-5
28%
2.8
6+
8%
7.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
2.29
1/2
2%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.3
X/1
18%
4.64
X/2
8%
9.07
X/X
14%
5.82
2/1
3%
21.05
2/2
11%
6.47
2/X
5%
14.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.05 — our 3% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pogon Szczecin The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin The Market 27%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.38 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
1.19 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Great Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
33 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Szczecin
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.65 xG 1.22
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
467 Passes 256
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 1
01.02.2025 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
04.12.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 4-3 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
28.07.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 HT 2-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
10.03.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 0-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
03.09.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
11.03.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Szczecin
5 - 1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.41 xG 1.19
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
271 Passes 235
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 19
10 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Szczecin cruised past Zaglebie Lubin 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pogon Szczecin as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Pogon Szczecin had 51% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 49%, shots finished 14-14, expected goals 2.41 to 1.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin Result & Final Score

Pogon Szczecin 5 - 1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 56%, draw 24%, Zaglebie Lubin 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Szczecin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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