Marine 1-4 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.74
Over
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No Pick
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.68
2-3
40%
1.71
4-5
18%
3.9
6+
9%
18.4
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.68 — our 33% vs market 29.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
29%
+7.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton The Market 32%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.34/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.10
-77% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
307 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marine
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Buxton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31% Ball Possession 69%
14 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.08.2024 Buxton Buxton 1-2 HT 0-2 Marine Marine İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
1-4
AWAY Buxton
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marine vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton cruised past Marine 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Buxton made the difference. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marine had 38% of the ball to Buxton's 62%, shots finished 4-16.

What was the final score of Marine vs Buxton?

Marine 1-4 Buxton in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marine 37%, draw 26%, Buxton 37%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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