Buxton 1-2 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 26 Aug 2024

📅26/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No Pick
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.35
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
20%
3.52
6+
8%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine The Market 28%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-6% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
1-2
AWAY Marine
69% Ball Possession 31%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine nicked a narrow win over Buxton 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Buxton at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buxton had 69% of the ball to Marine's 31%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Marine?

Buxton 1-2 Marine in the England - Conference on 26/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Buxton 50%, draw 24%, Marine 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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