Salisbury 1-1 St. Albans City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.8
Over
39%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.91
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
18%
3.6
6+
8%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.91 — our 34% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salisbury The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Albans City The Market 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.41/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.36
+1% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salisbury
1W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Albans City
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.10.2024 St. Albans City St. Albans City 3-4 HT 0-3 Salisbury Salisbury İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salisbury
1-1
AWAY St. Albans City
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salisbury vs St. Albans City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury and St. Albans City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Salisbury at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Salisbury had 43% of the ball to St. Albans City's 57%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Salisbury vs St. Albans City?

Salisbury 1-1 St. Albans City in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salisbury vs St. Albans City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salisbury win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 45%, draw 28%, St. Albans City 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salisbury), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salisbury) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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