Scunthorpe United 3-2 South Shields — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.53
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.09
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.53 — our 29% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.0pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY South Shields EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.71/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY South Shields
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2024 South Shields South Shields 0-2 HT 0-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
20.02.2024 South Shields South Shields 2-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İCON
05.09.2023 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-1 HT 2-1 South Shields South Shields İCON
15.10.2022 South Shields South Shields 1-0 HT 1-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
3-2
AWAY South Shields
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Scunthorpe United vs South Shields
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Scunthorpe United squeezed past South Shields 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Scunthorpe United as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Scunthorpe United had 50% of the ball to South Shields's 50%, shots finished 6-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Scunthorpe United and 1.00 for South Shields.

What was the final score of Scunthorpe United vs South Shields?

Scunthorpe United 3-2 South Shields in the England - Conference on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Scunthorpe United vs South Shields?

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 51%, draw 22%, South Shields 26%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Scunthorpe United) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ BTTS No
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