Charlton Athletic 1-0 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.71
Over
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.65
2-3
41%
1.71
4-5
23%
3.95
6+
10%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.04
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
16.55
X/1
14%
3.81
X/2
9%
10.7
X/X
8%
4.81
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
9%
9.63
2/X
10%
18.75
Value flag · 2/X at 18.75 — our 10% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
59%
-11.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.2pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury The Market 21%
-10% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.46/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.47
-19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 65%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.5 Crosses 15.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.37 xG 0.84
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
308 Passes 208
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
20.04.2024 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 1-1 HT 0-1 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
30.09.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
01.04.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 6-0 HT 3-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
22.10.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
23.04.2022 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
1-0
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.04 xG 0.60
70% Ball Possession 30%
11 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 5
414 Passes 118
80% Pass Accuracy 52%
26 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlton Athletic squeezed past Shrewsbury 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlton Athletic as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 70% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 30%, shots finished 11-4, expected goals 1.04 to 0.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlton Athletic and 0.17 for Shrewsbury.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Shrewsbury?

Charlton Athletic 1-0 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 48%, draw 27%, Shrewsbury 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlton Athletic), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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