Wigan Athletic 2-0 Bristol Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.68
Over
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.6
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
20%
4.02
6+
9%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
10%
14.3
X/1
13%
4.22
X/2
10%
8.21
X/X
13%
4.35
2/1
10%
26.5
2/2
14%
6.9
2/X
6%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.2pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wigan Athletic The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol Rovers The Market 26%
+3% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.31/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.35
-2% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 70%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
20.9 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wigan Athletic
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.07
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 292
71% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 0-4 HT 0-2 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
23.09.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
23.02.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
24.11.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
24.04.2018 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
16.09.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wigan Athletic
2-0
AWAY Bristol Rovers
1.13 xG 0.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
238 Passes 487
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Box Touches 10
11 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wigan Athletic vs Bristol Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic beat Bristol Rovers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Wigan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Wigan Athletic had 36% of the ball to Bristol Rovers's 64%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.13 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Wigan Athletic and 1.00 for Bristol Rovers.

What was the final score of Wigan Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?

Wigan Athletic 2-0 Bristol Rovers in the England - 1st Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wigan Athletic vs Bristol Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wigan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Wigan Athletic 42%, draw 29%, Bristol Rovers 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wigan Athletic), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wigan Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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