Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.8
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.09
2-3
40%
1.78
4-5
20%
3.78
6+
10%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.09 — our 30% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
9%
6.55
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
15%
4.88
2/X
6%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.8pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol Rovers The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic The Market 32%
+0% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -16%
1.30/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.34
+11% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
268 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
19.4 Crosses 17.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol Rovers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
305 Passes 248
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2023 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 4-1 HT 2-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
23.02.2021 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-2 HT 0-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
24.11.2020 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
24.04.2018 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
16.09.2017 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-0 HT 1-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
17.02.2001 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Bristol Rovers Bristol Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bristol Rovers
0-4
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.31 xG 3.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
253 Passes 243
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bristol Rovers vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wigan Athletic swept aside Bristol Rovers 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Bristol Rovers at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Bristol Rovers had 52% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 48%, shots finished 11-23, expected goals 0.31 to 3.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bristol Rovers and 1.17 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Bristol Rovers vs Wigan Athletic?

Bristol Rovers 0-4 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol Rovers vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bristol Rovers 46%, draw 25%, Wigan Athletic 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Bristol Rovers), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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