Chesterfield vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chesterfield v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals
Chesterfield vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chesterfield 1-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics
Chesterfield and Port Vale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.
On the day, Chesterfield had 75% of the ball to Port Vale's 25%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.60 to 0.27.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chesterfield and 1.00 for Port Vale.
What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Port Vale?
Chesterfield 1-1 Port Vale in the England - 2nd Division on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Port Vale?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 45%, draw 24%, Port Vale 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chesterfield), BTTS No went the other way.