Basingstoke Town 3-4 Hanwell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Hanwell Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.50/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.37
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hanwell Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 0
15.10.2024 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
13.01.2024 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town 1-2 HT 1-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
12.08.2023 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town 1-3 HT 0-3 Hanwell Town Hanwell Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Hanwell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hanwell Town edged past Basingstoke Town 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Hanwell Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Basingstoke Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Basingstoke Town and 1.67 for Hanwell Town.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Hanwell Town?

Basingstoke Town 3-4 Hanwell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Hanwell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 38%, draw 28%, Hanwell Town 34%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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