Sebail FK 1-0 Kapaz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 25 Jan 2025

Sebail FK
1-0 HT 1-0
Kapaz
📅25/01/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sebail FK vs Kapaz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.12
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
43%
-10.0pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Kapaz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapaz EU Bookmakers 32%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.59/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.32
-55% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Sebail FK vs Kapaz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kapaz
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
6 Corners 2
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-0 HT 0-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
23.08.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 4-0 HT 2-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
14.04.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 3-3 HT 0-2 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
12.02.2024 Kapaz Kapaz 1-4 HT 1-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
25.11.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Kapaz Kapaz AZERS
16.09.2023 Kapaz Kapaz 0-3 HT 0-2 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Kapaz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK squeezed past Kapaz 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sebail FK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sebail FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sebail FK and 0.83 for Kapaz.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Kapaz?

Sebail FK 1-0 Kapaz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Kapaz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kapaz win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 33%, draw 33%, Kapaz 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kapaz), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kapaz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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