Lee Man 4-3 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
21%
5.28
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.5pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.7pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lee Man EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.94/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/3.11
-1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
405 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lee Man
4W-0D-1L
AWAY North District
3.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-1 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
05.05.2024 North District North District 0-4 HT 0-1 Lee Man Lee Man HK1
10.03.2024 Lee Man Lee Man 4-0 HT 2-0 North District North District HK1
07.01.2024 North District North District 3-1 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONSAP
21.10.2023 North District North District 1-4 HT 0-0 Lee Man Lee Man HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lee Man
4-3
AWAY North District
55% Ball Possession 45%
23 Total Shots 11
12 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lee Man vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lee Man edged past North District 4-3. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lee Man as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lee Man had 55% of the ball to North District's 45%, shots finished 23-11.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lee Man had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.40 goals for Lee Man and 1.00 for North District.

What was the final score of Lee Man vs North District?

Lee Man 4-3 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lee Man vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lee Man win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Lee Man 59%, draw 22%, North District 20%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lee Man), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lee Man) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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25 Jan 2025
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