HHC Hardenberg 5-1 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.12/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/2.25
+12% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HHC Hardenberg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 1-2 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
27.01.2024 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-3 HT 0-0 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HHC Hardenberg
5-1
AWAY Jong Sparta
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg cruised past Jong Sparta 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HHC Hardenberg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, HHC Hardenberg had 54% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 46%, shots finished 14-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, HHC Hardenberg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for HHC Hardenberg and 0.50 for Jong Sparta.

What was the final score of HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Sparta?

HHC Hardenberg 5-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HHC Hardenberg vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated a HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split HHC Hardenberg 49%, draw 25%, Jong Sparta 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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