Katwijk 0-1 Koninklijke HFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.1
Over 2.5
47%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
26%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.0pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 18%
-22% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.90/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/2.36
-8% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
385 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
0.80 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 Passes 148
77% Pass Accuracy 58%
30 Box Touches 12
36 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
13.04.2024 Katwijk Katwijk 3-1 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
09.03.2024 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 2-0 HT 2-0 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
12.01.2019 Katwijk Katwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
19.05.2018 Katwijk Katwijk 1-2 HT 1-1 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
0-1
AWAY Koninklijke HFC
56% Ball Possession 44%
22 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koninklijke HFC squeezed past Katwijk 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Katwijk carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Katwijk had 56% of the ball to Koninklijke HFC's 44%, shots finished 22-7.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Koninklijke HFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Katwijk and 1.20 for Koninklijke HFC.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Katwijk 0-1 Koninklijke HFC in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Koninklijke HFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 55%, draw 25%, Koninklijke HFC 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Katwijk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Katwijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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