Hearts 2-2 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.32
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.6
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.35
X/1 EV+ ✗
17%
6.6
X/2
15%
5.22
X/X
13%
4.73
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
15%
3.2
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · X/1 at 6.6 — our 17% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -22%
1.26/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.61
+39% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -43%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
21.5 Crosses 18.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Celtic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.84 xG 2.40
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
216 Passes 582
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-2 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
26.10.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
29.03.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.11.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-4 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
14.09.2024 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
04.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-2
AWAY Celtic
1.66 xG 1.32
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
233 Passes 200
64% Pass Accuracy 65%
32 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts and Celtic shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hearts had 55% of the ball to Celtic's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.66 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 2.33 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Celtic?

Hearts 2-2 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hearts 38%, draw 24%, Celtic 37%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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İKP More Scotland - Premiership
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