Debrecen 3-2 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 25 Jan 2026

Debrecen
3 - 2 HT 1 - 2
Diosgyor
📅25/01/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
21%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.07
Over
56%
1.72
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.64
No
43%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
22%
3.81
2-3
47%
1.81
4-5
25%
3.02
6+
6%
9.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Debrecen The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor The Market 27%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.90 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.09
1.01 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.86
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Average
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
477 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 73%
30 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
26 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Diosgyor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.71 xG 1.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
403 Passes 227
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 18
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-0 HT 0-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
05.04.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 4-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
30.11.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 3-1 HT 2-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
17.08.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 0-1 HT 0-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
20.04.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 5-3 HT 2-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
03.02.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-2 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
3 - 2
AWAY Diosgyor
1.35 xG 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
308 Passes 178
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 31
25 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Debrecen vs Diosgyor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Debrecen nicked a narrow win over Diosgyor 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, possession split 59% to 41% in Debrecen's favour, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.35 to 1.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Diosgyor.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Diosgyor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Debrecen against 2.00 for Diosgyor.

Debrecen vs Diosgyor Result & Final Score

Debrecen 3 - 2 Diosgyor in the Hungary - NB I on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Debrecen vs Diosgyor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 55%, draw 24%, Diosgyor 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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