Matagalpa 0-2 Rancho Santana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 25 Jan 2026

📅25/01/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
17%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
64%
-0.5pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+1.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matagalpa EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 19%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.46/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/1.66
-29% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +17%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
430 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matagalpa
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Rancho Santana
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
28.09.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-4 HT 0-1 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
23.07.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-2 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
27.02.2025 Matagalpa Matagalpa 2-1 HT 1-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
04.11.2024 Matagalpa Matagalpa 1-0 HT 0-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
25.08.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-0 HT 1-0 Matagalpa Matagalpa NİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matagalpa
0-2
AWAY Rancho Santana
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rancho Santana beat Matagalpa 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Matagalpa carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Matagalpa had 51% of the ball to Rancho Santana's 49%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Matagalpa had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Matagalpa and 1.40 for Rancho Santana.

What was the final score of Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Matagalpa 0-2 Rancho Santana in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 25/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matagalpa vs Rancho Santana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Matagalpa win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Matagalpa 63%, draw 20%, Rancho Santana 17%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Matagalpa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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