AFC Hornchurch 3-1 Enfield Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.9
6+ Goals
8%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Enfield Town EU Bookmakers 27%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
0.77/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.25
-53% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Enfield Town
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Enfield Town Enfield Town 1-2 HT 1-2 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
16.11.2024 Enfield Town Enfield Town 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İNFAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
3-1
AWAY Enfield Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Enfield Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch saw off Enfield Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Hornchurch as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 50% of the ball to Enfield Town's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Hornchurch had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Hornchurch and 1.00 for Enfield Town.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Enfield Town?

AFC Hornchurch 3-1 Enfield Town in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Enfield Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 43%, draw 29%, Enfield Town 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✓ BTTS Yes
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