Boreham Wood 1-0 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.6
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.8pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.08/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.09
+13% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boreham Wood
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
02.12.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-3 HT 2-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boreham Wood
1-0
AWAY Chelmsford City
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood edged past Chelmsford City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boreham Wood had 58% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 42%, shots finished 16-12.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Chelmsford City?

Boreham Wood 1-0 Chelmsford City in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 50%, draw 23%, Chelmsford City 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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