St. Albans City 3-0 Aveley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
46%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-8.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.4pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Aveley EU Bookmakers 30%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.15/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.69
-30% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Aveley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2024 Aveley Aveley 6-3 HT 2-3 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
23.03.2024 Aveley Aveley 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
28.10.2023 St. Albans City St. Albans City 0-1 HT 0-0 Aveley Aveley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
3-0
AWAY Aveley
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Aveley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Albans City cruised past Aveley 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; St. Albans City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Albans City had 56% of the ball to Aveley's 44%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aveley led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St. Albans City and 3.00 for Aveley.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Aveley?

St. Albans City 3-0 Aveley in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Aveley?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Albans City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 39%, draw 29%, Aveley 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Albans City), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Albans City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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