South Shields 2-1 Alfreton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.98
2-3 Goals
34%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.53
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 34% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME South Shields EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfreton Town EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
1.20/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
-20% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME South Shields
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfreton Town
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 2-4 HT 1-1 South Shields South Shields İCON
13.02.2024 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 South Shields South Shields İCON
05.08.2023 South Shields South Shields 3-1 HT 0-0 Alfreton Town Alfreton Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME South Shields
2-1
AWAY Alfreton Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH South Shields vs Alfreton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

South Shields nicked a narrow win over Alfreton Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had South Shields as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, South Shields had 52% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 48%, shots finished 7-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, South Shields had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for South Shields and 1.33 for Alfreton Town.

What was the final score of South Shields vs Alfreton Town?

South Shields 2-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for South Shields vs Alfreton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a South Shields win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split South Shields 46%, draw 23%, Alfreton Town 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (South Shields) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (South Shields) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
25 Feb 2025
22:45 Spennymoor Town vs Marine Analysis →
22:45 Weston-super-Mare vs Torquay United Analysis →
22:45 Slough Town vs Chippenham Town Analysis →
22:45 Boreham Wood vs Chelmsford City Analysis →
22:45 Truro City vs Weymouth Analysis →
22:45 AFC Hornchurch vs Enfield Town Analysis →