Spennymoor Town 0-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.65
6+ Goals
10%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 30% vs market 27.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
20%
Away Win
19%
+1.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 22%
+10% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
2.38/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/2.02
+36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
323 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spennymoor Town
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Marine
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2024 Marine Marine 2-2 HT 1-1 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town İCON
16.09.2023 Spennymoor Town Spennymoor Town 2-2 Marine Marine FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spennymoor Town
0-1
AWAY Marine
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Spennymoor Town vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine squeezed past Spennymoor Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Spennymoor Town had 63% of the ball to Marine's 37%, shots finished 14-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Spennymoor Town and 2.00 for Marine.

What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Marine?

Spennymoor Town 0-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 53%, draw 27%, Marine 20%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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