Oxford City 0-0 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 25 Feb 2025

📅25/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.04
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.65
2-3 Goals
38%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
11%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 32% vs market 30.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
56%
Away Win
53%
+3.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 57%
+26% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
1.42/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.62
+22% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +62%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
277 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oxford City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Chester
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Chester Chester 3-1 HT 2-0 Oxford City Oxford City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
0-0
AWAY Chester
47% Ball Possession 53%
3 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City and Chester fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chester at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Oxford City had 47% of the ball to Chester's 53%, shots finished 3-4.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Chester?

Oxford City 0-0 Chester in the England - Conference on 25/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 22%, draw 21%, Chester 56%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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